Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 14.337371 16.693830 19.259891 22.254402 25.645279 29.358001 33.722710
2025-07-20 10.989624 14.362250 18.402454 23.561670 29.933505 37.501234 47.121096
2025-07-27 8.782609 12.587457 17.500907 24.224997 33.088423 44.262754 59.288458
2025-08-03 7.135157 11.074807 16.498903 24.364477 35.302149 49.771931 70.117857
2025-08-10 5.765761 9.631200 15.272858 23.889514 36.449888 53.776290 79.090584
2025-08-17 4.695717 8.404962 14.120816 23.275994 37.202032 57.142812 87.278695
2025-08-24 3.841638 7.348272 13.038319 22.567664 37.645372 59.984761 94.795152
2025-08-31 3.107115 6.348619 11.882528 21.560033 37.461251 61.795251 100.819811
2025-09-07 2.759051 5.963895 11.675201 22.030100 39.582828 67.163874 112.439172
2025-09-14 2.450300 5.594725 11.435236 22.395414 41.529033 72.347991 124.047544
2025-09-21 2.091914 5.061418 10.821734 22.024433 42.181466 75.478136 132.573033
2025-09-28 1.767834 4.536269 10.145970 21.449818 42.402638 77.876180 140.011102
2025-10-05 1.668259 4.504450 10.470802 22.861426 46.411115 87.109992 159.668345
2025-10-12 1.539897 4.390231 10.628842 24.000972 50.086296 96.134846 179.733143
2025-10-19 1.382407 4.173389 10.539962 24.639011 52.884717 103.834518 198.041135
2025-10-26 1.208577 3.875376 10.226793 24.774133 54.722957 109.941769 213.948593
2025-11-02 1.020225 3.492014 9.657273 24.291110 55.291832 113.769696 226.045634
2025-11-09 0.853952 3.125313 9.062484 23.668432 55.501767 116.917150 237.068623
2025-11-16 0.709673 2.782087 8.463072 22.949686 55.427052 119.491553 247.155354
2025-11-23 0.575867 2.430068 7.775251 21.927208 54.595988 120.525955 254.403878
2025-11-30 0.521089 2.324009 7.719390 22.404208 57.033651 128.085420 274.334130
2025-12-07 0.468699 2.211250 7.625943 22.774899 59.261306 135.352044 294.070253
2025-12-14 0.399407 2.013846 7.256173 22.398458 59.765091 139.155249 307.281574